Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 13.188159 15.442491 17.904102 20.783539 24.050833 27.634381 31.853276
2025-03-09 9.150154 12.147267 15.770862 20.434165 26.231790 33.155020 41.995283
2025-03-16 6.416584 9.473532 13.496138 19.087985 26.556985 36.075353 48.989292
2025-03-23 5.285757 8.510670 13.053034 19.761298 29.228466 41.897863 59.874556
2025-03-30 4.543341 7.894175 12.900652 20.684829 32.187299 48.211878 71.790581
2025-04-06 3.649417 6.847793 11.915941 20.203529 33.004893 51.533678 79.743445
2025-04-13 2.851539 5.781808 10.704902 19.162186 32.795158 53.256928 85.424081
2025-04-20 2.584485 5.572035 10.826593 20.203019 35.816169 59.898180 98.670770
2025-04-27 2.403251 5.480373 11.121554 21.535782 39.381699 67.573221 113.913266
2025-05-04 2.114111 5.121705 10.884882 21.912393 41.383277 72.911173 125.850344
2025-05-11 1.811977 4.674276 10.414033 21.803028 42.524865 76.912470 135.878936
2025-05-18 1.521479 4.189413 9.795000 21.335011 42.973058 79.768012 144.183328
2025-05-25 1.277032 3.773078 9.285432 21.082394 43.906533 83.708205 154.882191
2025-06-01 1.070554 3.401890 8.818889 20.873118 44.933326 87.944490 166.471260
2025-06-08 0.822032 2.851592 7.860688 19.527749 43.668805 88.066651 171.057775
2025-06-15 0.741285 2.736450 7.872902 20.219259 46.401005 95.484623 188.697888
2025-06-22 0.683499 2.672779 7.996041 21.162002 49.704978 104.139814 208.978436
2025-06-29 0.564332 2.384178 7.510192 20.671368 50.032991 107.278314 219.532161
2025-07-06 0.442964 2.044220 6.822232 19.609358 49.046701 107.833052 225.371662
2025-07-13 0.417293 2.030615 7.011941 20.670888 52.693461 117.532322 248.624516
2025-07-20 0.402647 2.054169 7.309605 22.029924 57.092358 128.940920 275.608210
2025-07-27 0.359051 1.951347 7.224839 22.413915 59.348524 136.217297 295.093027
2025-08-03 0.307898 1.798384 6.961596 22.302410 60.467047 141.259989 310.526373